DATAFORUS

U.S. Democratic Backsliding & Genocide Risk Analysis

U.S. Fascism & Democratic Backsliding

10,000-iteration Monte Carlo — 33 indicators · 4 frameworks · July 2026

Click a framework to isolate it — X axis: % of 10,000 iterations where the indicator was observable

LOWMODERATEHIGHEXTREME0%40%70%90%100%OBSERVABILITY RATE (% OF 10,000 SIMULATIONS)Cult of Tradition99.99%Rejection of Modernism10.36%Cult of Action89.63%Disagreement is Treason99.31%Fear of Difference100%Appeal to Social Frustration100%Obsession with a Plot100%Enemy is Strong/Weak100%Life for Struggle50.48%Contempt for the Weak97.64%Heroism is Norm99.9%Machismo/Weaponry99.99%Selective Populism100%Newspeak99.34%Behavior Control0.56%Information Control99.99%Thought Control89.71%Emotional Control99.87%Mythic Past100%Propaganda100%Anti-Intellectualism100%Unreality100%Hierarchy99.99%Victimhood100%Law and Order100%Sexual Anxiety100%Sodom and Gomorrah100%Judicial Independence Erosion99.85%Media Freedom Decline97.65%Civil Liberties Restriction89.36%Executive Aggrandizement100%Election Integrity Issues100%Social Polarization100%

Hover a dot for framework, severity, and evidence detail

33 data points shown

Reading This Chart

Each dot is one indicator drawn from four analytical frameworks: Umberto Eco's 14 features of Ur-Fascism, Steven Hassan's BITE model of authoritarian control, Jason Stanley's pillars of fascist politics, and the V-Dem / International IDEA democratic backsliding indices. The X position shows the share of 10,000 simulation iterations in which the indicator registered as observable, given evidence-derived base intensities and Gaussian observation noise. Background bands mark the severity zones. Indicators weighted directly by the WEXMAC TITUS contract and Oneonta, AL jail evidence — Law and Order and Executive Aggrandizement — carry their evidence notes in the hover panel.